The Publication
This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.
FEBRUARY 2007 KEY POINTS
Trend
The February 2007 trend estimate for new motor vehicle sales (85 677) increased 1.3% when compared with the January 2007 estimate. This was the ninth consecutive positive trend estimate. From February 2006, the trend estimate increased by 6.7%.
All of the vehicle types recorded increases for at least six consecutive months of trend estimates. Passenger vehicles and other vehicle types both increased 1.3% from January 2007 to February 2007 and sports utility vehicles increased by 1.2%.
Increases have also been recorded in all vehicle types when compared with February 2006. Sports utility vehicles showed the largest increase (8.9%), followed by passenger vehicles (7.9%) and other vehicles (1.1%).
In February 2007, all states and territories recorded increases in the trend estimate of total sales of new motor vehicles from the previous month. The Australian Capital Territory (2.0%) and Victoria (1.7%) recorded the largest increases.
When compared with February 2006, all States and Territories also recorded increases in trend estimates. The largest increases were recorded in Western Australia (14.8%), Australian Capital Territory (12.2%) and Queensland (9.0%).
Seasonally adjusted
The February 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles (86 486) was the same as the January 2007 estimate.
Over the same period, other vehicles (1.7%) and sports utility vehicles (0.6%) recorded increases, while passenger vehicles recorded a decrease (0.7%).
All states and territories except New South Wales, South Australia and Northern Territory recorded an increase in seasonally adjusted estimates compared with the previous month, with Tasmania recording the largest increase (7.9%), followed by Australian Capital Territory (4.7%). New South Wales and South Australia recorded the largest decreases (2.7% and 2.6%, respectively).
New motor vehicles sales February 2007
| NSW | Vic. | Qld | SA | WA | Tas.(a) | NT(a) | ACT(a) | Aust. |
Vehicle sales
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | 25 932 | 22 273 | 19 036 | 5 235 | 10 114 | 1 679 | 827 | 1 390 | 86 486 |
Trend | 26 070 | 21 592 | 19 049 | 5 189 | 10 019 | 1 590 | 823 | 1 345 | 85 677 |
Percentage change from previous month
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | -2.7 | 2.4 | 0.1 | -2.6 | 1.3 | 7.9 | -1.2 | 4.7 | 0.0 |
Trend | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
Percentage change from previous year
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | 3.9 | 7.4 | 10.7 | 0.9 | 18.1 | 6.3 | 5.1 | 17.2 | 7.9 |
Trend | 5.6 | 4.1 | 9.0 | 0.1 | 14.8 | 1.7 | 6.9 | 12.2 | 6.7 |
|
(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.
NOTES
FORTHCOMING ISSUES
ISSUE | RELEASE DATE | |
| | |
March 2007 | 20 April 2007 | |
April 2007 | 22 May 2007 | |
May 2007
June 2007
July 2007 | 20 June 2007
20 July 2007
22 August 2007 | |
August 2007 | 21 September 2007 | |
WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES
The "what-if" analysis is presented to give an indicative view of the possible revision of the current trend estimate based on the different scenarios of the future seasonally adjusted estimates. These estimates should not be used as a prediction of future trend estimates. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 11 and 12.
The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the published trend estimates.
1 | The March 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the February 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%. |
2 | The March 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the February 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%. |
The percentage change of 3.4% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 3.4%.
SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES.
Table 1: New motor vehicle sales by type of vehicle
| |
| | Passenger vehicles (No.) | Sports utility
vehicles (No.) | Other
vehicles
(No.) | Total
vehicles (No.) | Change
passenger vehicles (%) | Change sports utility vehicles (%) | Change other vehicles (%) | Change total vehicles (%) | |
| |
Original | |
| |
2005 | December | 47 945 | 15 046 | 16 286 | 79 277 | -9.1 | 5.6 | -1.5 | -5.1 | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2006 | January | 43 761 | 13 251 | 12 991 | 70 003 | -8.7 | -11.9 | -20.2 | -11.7 | |
| February | 48 483 | 13 506 | 15 457 | 77 446 | 10.8 | 1.9 | 19.0 | 10.6 | |
| March | 53 188 | 15 896 | 18 072 | 87 156 | 9.7 | 17.7 | 16.9 | 12.5 | |
| April | 42 307 | 11 901 | 14 442 | 68 650 | -20.5 | -25.1 | -20.1 | -21.2 | |
| May | 50 683 | 14 816 | 17 958 | 83 457 | 19.8 | 24.5 | 24.3 | 21.6 | |
| June | 57 026 | 18 079 | 21 343 | 96 448 | 12.5 | 22.0 | 18.8 | 15.6 | |
| July | 48 798 | 13 279 | 15 485 | 77 562 | -14.4 | -26.6 | -27.4 | -19.6 | |
| August | 52 030 | 13 539 | 16 092 | 81 661 | 6.6 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 5.3 | |
| September | 51 388 | 13 208 | 15 397 | 79 993 | -1.2 | -2.4 | -4.3 | -2.0 | |
| October | 50 532 | 13 921 | 15 477 | 79 930 | -1.7 | 5.4 | 0.5 | -0.1 | |
| November | 51 850 | 15 193 | 16 254 | 83 297 | 2.6 | 9.1 | 5.0 | 4.2 | |
| December | 48 348 | 14 258 | 14 457 | 77 063 | -6.8 | -6.2 | -11.1 | -7.5 | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 49 189 | 14 303 | 13 444 | 76 936 | 1.7 | 0.3 | -7.0 | -0.2 | |
| February | 52 628 | 14 912 | 16 200 | 83 740 | 7.0 | 4.3 | 20.5 | 8.8 | |
| |
Seasonally adjusted | |
| |
2005 | December | 49 915 | 14 990 | 16 995 | 81 900 | -0.9 | 5.3 | 1.8 | 0.7 | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2006 | January | 50 555 | 14 484 | 16 784 | 81 823 | 1.3 | -3.4 | -1.2 | -0.1 | |
| February | 49 706 | 14 006 | 16 474 | 80 186 | -1.7 | -3.3 | -1.8 | -2.0 | |
| March | 48 565 | 13 937 | 16 591 | 79 093 | -2.3 | -0.5 | 0.7 | -1.4 | |
| April | 49 363 | 13 904 | 16 326 | 79 593 | 1.6 | -0.2 | -1.6 | 0.6 | |
| May | 49 465 | 13 946 | 16 281 | 79 692 | 0.2 | 0.3 | -0.3 | 0.1 | |
| June | 48 855 | 14 343 | 15 583 | 78 781 | -1.2 | 2.8 | -4.3 | -1.1 | |
| July | 50 693 | 14 187 | 16 131 | 81 011 | 3.8 | -1.1 | 3.5 | 2.8 | |
| August | 50 303 | 13 097 | 15 905 | 79 305 | -0.8 | -7.7 | -1.4 | -2.1 | |
| September | 51 071 | 14 574 | 15 997 | 81 642 | 1.5 | 11.3 | 0.6 | 2.9 | |
| October | 50 364 | 15 054 | 16 293 | 81 711 | -1.4 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 0.1 | |
| November | 50 209 | 14 858 | 16 015 | 81 082 | -0.3 | -1.3 | -1.7 | -0.8 | |
| December | 51 580 | 14 875 | 15 737 | 82 192 | 2.7 | 0.1 | -1.7 | 1.4 | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 54 248 | 15 315 | 16 923 | 86 486 | 5.2 | 3.0 | 7.5 | 5.2 | |
| February | 53 863 | 15 413 | 17 210 | 86 486 | -0.7 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 0.0 | |
| |
Trend | |
| |
2005 | December | 50 013 | 14 450 | 16 737 | 81 200 | -0.4 | -1.1 | -0.2 | -0.5 | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2006 | January | 49 779 | 14 285 | 16 689 | 80 753 | -0.5 | -1.1 | -0.3 | -0.6 | |
| February | 49 538 | 14 181 | 16 608 | 80 327 | -0.5 | -0.7 | -0.5 | -0.5 | |
| March | 49 342 | 14 100 | 16 482 | 79 924 | -0.4 | -0.6 | -0.8 | -0.5 | |
| April | 49 259 | 14 006 | 16 306 | 79 571 | -0.2 | -0.7 | -1.1 | -0.4 | |
| May | 49 361 | 13 921 | 16 131 | 79 413 | 0.2 | -0.6 | -1.1 | -0.2 | |
| June | 49 637 | 13 924 | 16 024 | 79 585 | 0.6 | 0.0 | -0.7 | 0.2 | |
| July | 49 918 | 14 005 | 15 964 | 79 887 | 0.6 | 0.6 | -0.4 | 0.4 | |
| August | 50 166 | 14 143 | 15 930 | 80 239 | 0.5 | 1.0 | -0.2 | 0.4 | |
| September | 50 435 | 14 344 | 15 955 | 80 734 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | |
| October | 50 824 | 14 590 | 16 046 | 81 460 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.9 | |
| November | 51 371 | 14 845 | 16 186 | 82 402 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 1.2 | |
| December | 52 042 | 15 073 | 16 365 | 83 480 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 52 747 | 15 263 | 16 566 | 84 576 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | |
| February | 53 452 | 15 439 | 16 786 | 85 677 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | |
| |
| |
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Table 2: New motor vehicle sales by state/territory of registration
| |
| | NSW | Vic. | Qld | SA | WA | Tas.(a) | NT(a) | ACT(a) | Aust. | |
| | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | |
| |
Original | |
| |
2005 | December | 23 054 | 22 110 | 16 208 | 5 335 | 8 664 | 2 080 | 690 | 1 136 | 79 277 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
2006 | January | 21 995 | 17 876 | 15 107 | 4 380 | 7 604 | 1 295 | 616 | 1 130 | 70 003 | |
| February | 24 495 | 19 979 | 16 452 | 5 085 | 8 165 | 1 373 | 731 | 1 166 | 77 446 | |
| March | 27 165 | 21 461 | 19 833 | 5 195 | 9 750 | 1 540 | 913 | 1 299 | 87 156 | |
| April | 21 171 | 17 636 | 14 820 | 4 619 | 7 507 | 1 129 | 764 | 1 004 | 68 650 | |
| May | 25 124 | 20 776 | 18 774 | 5 601 | 9 472 | 1 623 | 863 | 1 224 | 83 457 | |
| June | 28 560 | 23 015 | 23 091 | 6 164 | 11 170 | 1 936 | 1 058 | 1 454 | 96 448 | |
| July | 23 688 | 19 322 | 17 910 | 4 794 | 8 720 | 1 334 | 679 | 1 115 | 77 562 | |
| August | 24 223 | 21 043 | 18 124 | 5 107 | 9 736 | 1 436 | 768 | 1 224 | 81 661 | |
| September | 24 267 | 20 449 | 17 061 | 4 903 | 9 716 | 1 688 | 682 | 1 227 | 79 993 | |
| October | 24 379 | 20 785 | 16 625 | 4 781 | 9 591 | 1 797 | 762 | 1 210 | 79 930 | |
| November | 25 418 | 20 739 | 18 076 | 5 116 | 9 972 | 1 973 | 733 | 1 270 | 83 297 | |
| December | 22 927 | 19 790 | 16 551 | 4 700 | 9 471 | 1 748 | 688 | 1 188 | 77 063 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 24 429 | 19 000 | 16 769 | 4 620 | 8 929 | 1 285 | 651 | 1 253 | 76 936 | |
| February | 25 636 | 21 510 | 18 221 | 5 138 | 9 625 | 1 463 | 771 | 1 376 | 83 740 | |
| |
Seasonally adjusted | |
| |
2005 | December | 24 868 | 21 973 | 17 495 | 5 301 | 8 714 | 1 592 | 771 | 1 186 | 81 900 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
2006 | January | 25 204 | 20 972 | 17 920 | 5 280 | 8 799 | 1 594 | 799 | 1 255 | 81 823 | |
| February | 24 949 | 20 734 | 17 196 | 5 188 | 8 566 | 1 580 | 787 | 1 186 | 80 186 | |
| March | 24 465 | 19 900 | 17 577 | 4 856 | 8 729 | 1 589 | 773 | 1 204 | 79 093 | |
| April | 24 123 | 20 480 | 17 383 | 5 310 | 8 859 | 1 494 | 750 | 1 194 | 79 593 | |
| May | 23 898 | 20 068 | 17 776 | 5 242 | 9 229 | 1 594 | 738 | 1 147 | 79 692 | |
| June | 23 996 | 19 444 | 17 519 | 5 040 | 9 071 | 1 717 | 761 | 1 233 | 78 781 | |
| July | 24 262 | 20 427 | 18 261 | 5 131 | 9 494 | 1 523 | 745 | 1 168 | 81 011 | |
| August | 23 928 | 20 271 | 17 273 | 4 925 | 9 492 | 1 422 | 798 | 1 196 | 79 305 | |
| September | 24 833 | 20 827 | 17 553 | 5 050 | 9 681 | 1 682 | 768 | 1 248 | 81 642 | |
| October | 25 105 | 20 491 | 17 846 | 4 911 | 9 642 | 1 668 | 833 | 1 215 | 81 711 | |
| November | 24 732 | 19 826 | 18 323 | 4 927 | 9 596 | 1 655 | 761 | 1 262 | 81 082 | |
| December | 25 092 | 20 423 | 18 507 | 4 854 | 9 852 | 1 406 | 799 | 1 259 | 82 192 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 26 639 | 21 756 | 19 015 | 5 372 | 9 984 | 1 556 | 837 | 1 327 | 86 486 | |
| February | 25 932 | 22 273 | 19 036 | 5 235 | 10 114 | 1 679 | 827 | 1 390 | 86 486 | |
| |
Trend | |
| |
2005 | December | 24 854 | 21 266 | 17 544 | 5 255 | 8 732 | 1 571 | 766 | 1 212 | 81 200 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
2006 | January | 24 778 | 21 038 | 17 477 | 5 219 | 8 711 | 1 558 | 770 | 1 202 | 80 753 | |
| February | 24 679 | 20 734 | 17 470 | 5 185 | 8 727 | 1 563 | 770 | 1 199 | 80 327 | |
| March | 24 511 | 20 407 | 17 518 | 5 160 | 8 791 | 1 574 | 768 | 1 195 | 79 924 | |
| April | 24 279 | 20 136 | 17 577 | 5 142 | 8 904 | 1 580 | 762 | 1 191 | 79 571 | |
| May | 24 083 | 20 019 | 17 611 | 5 128 | 9 056 | 1 575 | 755 | 1 186 | 79 413 | |
| June | 24 034 | 20 063 | 17 630 | 5 109 | 9 229 | 1 576 | 756 | 1 188 | 79 585 | |
| July | 24 104 | 20 152 | 17 645 | 5 067 | 9 379 | 1 584 | 762 | 1 194 | 79 887 | |
| August | 24 279 | 20 212 | 17 678 | 5 009 | 9 496 | 1 590 | 772 | 1 203 | 80 239 | |
| September | 24 536 | 20 288 | 17 773 | 4 965 | 9 583 | 1 589 | 783 | 1 217 | 80 734 | |
| October | 24 840 | 20 420 | 17 961 | 4 960 | 9 663 | 1 586 | 793 | 1 237 | 81 460 | |
| November | 25 166 | 20 627 | 18 222 | 4 995 | 9 749 | 1 583 | 800 | 1 260 | 82 402 | |
| December | 25 491 | 20 908 | 18 510 | 5 050 | 9 841 | 1 583 | 808 | 1 289 | 83 480 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 25 797 | 21 237 | 18 776 | 5 115 | 9 931 | 1 585 | 816 | 1 319 | 84 576 | |
| February | 26 070 | 21 592 | 19 049 | 5 189 | 10 019 | 1 590 | 823 | 1 345 | 85 677 | |
| |
(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes. | |